ready for profits from day 1…
Hey fellow punters!
Ian Sutton and Rob Morris here from Raceonomics and we want to give you exactly what you came here looking for…
…an edge over the bookies!
Me and Rob met back in our university days and spent many hours and late nights combining our betting approaches to the next days racing.
We have been working together ever since.
In 2016 we developed an algorithm we refer to as Raceonomics and have been tweaking it year on year.
2017 saw us put our money behind the service and walk away from the bookies with a combined £72,540 profit. (£36,000 each)
2018 saw us both clear £60,000 taking the combined profit of £120,000
Further tweaks have seen profits increase and with us adding members to the service the total earnings for 2019 is fast approaching 7 figures for total earnings from combined profit/loss from us and our members.
Our increase in profits have come form a combination of increasing our stakes and tweaking the algorithm to give more profitable results.
So what is the Raceonomics Algorithm?
This is much more than a equation for picking out the best horse in a race, this algorithm picks the most profitable bets to place on a given day.
This is a results driven formula based on maximising profit and reducing losses through precision selection.
It may select a winner in a race but after checking the odds it may discard an odds on favourite in favour of another selection which will return more profit.
It may tell us that there are no worthwhile bets to place that day.
It may tell us to back horses at 50/1.
The goal is always the same, maximise profits, reduce losses and lost bets, every single day.
The Raceonomics Algorithm has selected horses that return a profit 84.7% of the time.
Picking the right horse to back is only half of the puzzle…
The algorithm picks out its selections based on profitability, this means placing different bets on the selection.
So it will give us a % stake to place against the win and a % stake to place against the place markets.
Betting on horse racing or horse betting commonly occurs at many horse races. It started in the UK in the early 1600s during the reign of King James I. Gamblers can stake money on the final placement of the horses taking part in a race. Gambling on horses is, however, prohibited at some racetracks. For example, because of a law passed in 1951, betting is illegal in Springdale Race Course, home of the nationally renowned Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank) Carolina Cup and Colonial Cup Steeplechase in Camden, South Carolina.
Where gambling is allowed, most tracks offer parimutuel betting where gamblers’ money is pooled and shared proportionally among the winners once a deduction has been made from the pool. Parimutuel betting also provides purse money to participants and a considerable amount of tax revenue, with over $100 billion being wagered annually in 53 countries.
In some countries – notably the UK, Ireland, and Australia – an alternative and more popular facility is provided by bookmakers who effectively make a market in odds. This allows the gambler to ‘lock in’ odds on a horse at a particular time (known as ‘taking the price’ in the UK).
Types of bets
In North American racing, the three most common ways to bet money are to win, to place, and to show. A bet to win, sometimes called a “straight” bet, means staking money on the horse, and if it comes in first place, the bet is a winner. In a bet to place, you are betting on your horse to finish either first or second. A bet to show wins if the horse finishes first, second or third. Since it is much easier to select a horse to finish first, second, or third than it is to select a horse just for first, the show payoffs will be much lower on average than win payoffs. If there are a small number of horses in the race, show or place bets may not be offered (or if bets have already been made, they are cancelled and the wagered amounts refunded).
In Europe, Australia, and Asia, betting to place is different since the number of “payout places” varies depending on the size of the field that takes part in the race. For example, in a race with seven or less runners in the UK, only the first two finishers would be considered winning bets with most bookmakers. Three places are paid for eight or more runners, whilst a handicap race with 16 runners or more will see the first four places being classed as “placed”. (A show bet in the North American sense does not exist in these locations.)
The term each-way (E/W) bet is used everywhere but North America, and has a different meaning depending on the location. An each-way bet sees the total bet being split in two, with half being placed on the win, and half on the place. Bettors receive a payout if the horse either wins, and/or is placed based on the place criteria as stated above. The full odds are paid if the horse wins, (plus the place portion), with a quarter or a fifth of the odds (depending on the race-type and the number of runners) if only the place section of the bet is successful. In the UK some bookmakers will pay for the first five (some independent firms have even paid the first six) for a place on the Grand National. This additional concession is offered because of the large number of runners in the race (maximum 40). Occasionally other handicap races with large fields (numbers of runners) receive the same treatment from various bookmakers, especially if they are sponsoring the race.
The rough equivalent of the each-way in North America is the across the board (win/place/show) or win/place bet, where equal bets on a horse are made to win, place, and show (or just win and place). Each portion is treated by the totalizator as a separate bet, so an across-the-board bet is merely a convenience for bettors and parimutuel clerks. For instance, if a $2 across-the-board bet (total outlay of $6) were staked on a horse which finished second, paying $4.20 to place and $3.00 to show, the bettor would receive $7.20 on what is essentially a $6 wager.
In addition to straight wagers, “exotic” wagers offer bettors an opportunity to incorporate the placement of different horses in one or multiple races. The two broad types of exotic wagers are horizontal and vertical. Horizontal exotic wagers are bets on multiple horses in one particular race, while vertical exotic wagers involve predicting results across multiple races. Both have specific options for which bets are available and are detailed below.
In the most basic horizontal wager, an exacta, the bettor selects the first and second place horses in the exact order. Picking the first three finishers in exact order is called a trifecta and a superfecta refers to the specific finishing order of the top four horses.
Boxing is a tactic that increases the odds of winning an exotic wager by removing the need to choose the exact order. A quinella, which boxes an exacta (allowing the first two finishers to come in any order and still win), is the basic box, but boxing can be applied to the trifecta and superfecta as well.
A wheel is a bet on a single horse is to finish in a specific position, with multiple horses finishing ahead and/or behind it. In a sense, a win bet can be thought of as a specific type of wheel bet.
Vertical bets are spread over different races. A daily double is an exotic wager placed on the winner of two consecutive races. Picking the winner of three, four, five or six straight races is referred to as a pick-3, pick-4, pick-5 and pick-6 respectively.